Friday, September 22, 2017

Fog of Uncertainty

Both war and magick are the realm of uncertainty. War is an affair of chances. Magick is the manipulation of casual loops, odds, and timing. Fog of war and Fog of Merlin ("Dragon's Breath") are one of the same. "Three quarters of the factors on which action in war is based are wrapped in a fog of greater or lesser uncertainty.” (Carl von Clausewitz ). This profound uncertainty can lead a commander or policymaker to act aggressively when a fuller set of facts would advise caution, and vice versa. "Fog of uncertainty" is the ultimate upper hand. That is how higher force selected the event paths and directed the histories, war or not.